Naval vs Atlético CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
21.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2012 |
NAV
5 - 1
SAN
57%
25%
19%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
ARO
1 - 2
NAV
48%
26%
26%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
NAV
1 - 2
MOR
44%
28%
28%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
NAV
2 - 1
UNM
56%
25%
19%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
EST
2 - 0
NAV
50%
27%
23%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2012 |
OLI
2 - 1
ATL
50%
26%
24%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 1
UNM
48%
28%
25%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
SCF
2 - 2
ATL
50%
25%
25%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
ATL
0 - 0
AVE
39%
30%
32%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
PEN
1 - 0
ATL
42%
28%
30%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |