Naval vs Arouca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
29.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
TRO
0 - 1
NAV
30%
27%
43%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
NAV
2 - 2
ATL
59%
24%
17%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
NAV
1 - 1
POR
59%
24%
18%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 3
NAV
26%
29%
46%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
SCP
2 - 2
NAV
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Arouca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
ARO
3 - 1
BEN
54%
25%
22%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2012 |
FEI
5 - 0
ARO
36%
28%
36%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
ARO
2 - 1
BMA
50%
24%
26%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2012 |
ARO
2 - 0
BRA
69%
20%
11%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
SAN
4 - 0
ARO
36%
28%
36%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |