Naval vs FC Alverca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
27.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
ESP
0 - 0
NAV
34%
28%
39%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
NAV
3 - 1
GON
70%
18%
11%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
OLH
2 - 1
NAV
62%
22%
16%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
NAV
1 - 2
OVA
52%
24%
24%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
AVE
0 - 1
NAV
45%
26%
29%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
FC Alverca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
ALV
0 - 1
EST
57%
23%
19%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
POR
0 - 1
ALV
46%
26%
29%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
ALV
0 - 1
MAI
51%
24%
25%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
LEX
2 - 0
ALV
43%
27%
31%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
ALV
1 - 1
FCM
59%
22%
19%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |