Naval vs FC Alverca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
32.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
NAV
4 - 0
UNM
60%
22%
17%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
OVA
0 - 2
NAV
44%
24%
32%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
CHA
2 - 2
NAV
53%
24%
23%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
NAV
0 - 0
FAR
48%
25%
28%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2002 |
SAL
1 - 1
NAV
63%
21%
16%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
FC Alverca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
ALV
1 - 1
CHA
58%
23%
20%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
VIT
4 - 0
ALV
60%
21%
19%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
FAR
1 - 1
ALV
42%
26%
33%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
ALV
4 - 0
SAL
49%
24%
27%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
EST
3 - 1
ALV
41%
27%
33%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |