Naval vs Águias do Moradal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
18.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
BEN
2 - 1
NAV
67%
20%
13%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
NAV
0 - 1
UDL
18%
25%
57%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
CAL
0 - 0
NAV
60%
24%
16%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
VIT
2 - 0
NAV
27%
25%
47%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
NAV
2 - 1
CRA
82%
12%
6%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Águias do Moradal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
ADM
0 - 1
CRA
78%
14%
9%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
ADM
1 - 1
ALC
26%
24%
51%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
SER
1 - 1
ADM
72%
18%
11%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
ADM
4 - 2
VIT
42%
23%
35%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
ADM
0 - 1
BEN
21%
24%
56%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | -1 |