Naval vs Águias do Moradal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.4%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.6%
7%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
NAV
0 - 3
MAN
81%
13%
6%
|
57 | 20 | 37 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
SER
2 - 1
NAV
30%
26%
43%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
NAV
3 - 2
CAR
77%
15%
7%
|
58 | 32 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
TOU
1 - 0
NAV
15%
24%
62%
|
58 | 34 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
NAV
1 - 1
PAM
75%
17%
9%
|
58 | 37 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Águias do Moradal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
ADM
1 - 1
PAM
29%
24%
47%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
MAN
1 - 1
ADM
27%
23%
50%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
ADM
2 - 1
SOU
32%
24%
44%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +2 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
SER
3 - 2
ADM
75%
16%
9%
|
25 | 47 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
ADM
2 - 3
BEN
17%
22%
61%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | -1 |