Naval vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
36.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2001 |
AVE
1 - 1
NAV
48%
25%
27%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2001 |
FEL
1 - 0
NAV
37%
26%
37%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2001 |
NAV
0 - 1
CHA
50%
24%
26%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2001 |
NAV
2 - 3
SAL
46%
24%
30%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
ESP
2 - 2
NAV
39%
27%
35%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2001 |
ACA
1 - 2
SAL
53%
23%
24%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2001 |
ACA
2 - 1
FEL
71%
18%
11%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2001 |
MOR
2 - 0
ACA
33%
26%
41%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2001 |
SAN
0 - 1
ACA
28%
24%
48%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
ACA
0 - 0
NAC
58%
22%
20%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |