Naval de Talcahuano vs Santiago Morning analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
42.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naval de Talcahuano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
CUR
1 - 2
NTA
52%
26%
22%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
NTA
1 - 3
BAR
32%
26%
42%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
LOT
2 - 1
NTA
40%
27%
33%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
NTA
0 - 1
CON
47%
25%
28%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
DEP
0 - 1
NTA
56%
24%
20%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Santiago Morning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
CON
0 - 1
SAN
40%
26%
35%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 1
LOT
68%
19%
12%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
BAR
1 - 2
SAN
49%
25%
26%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 2
CUR
62%
22%
17%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 1
DCO
65%
20%
15%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |