Naval de Talcahuano vs Ñublense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
58.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naval de Talcahuano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
SAN
4 - 0
NTA
57%
23%
20%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
NTA
0 - 1
SAN
19%
24%
57%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 1
NTA
48%
26%
27%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
NTA
0 - 1
CUR
54%
25%
22%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -2 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
PUE
0 - 2
NTA
39%
28%
34%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Ñublense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
NUB
2 - 0
MAG
69%
19%
12%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
COQ
2 - 2
NUB
20%
24%
56%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
PUE
4 - 2
NUB
14%
23%
62%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
NUB
0 - 0
LOT
74%
17%
9%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | -2 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
CON
1 - 1
NUB
25%
26%
50%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | -1 |