Naval de Talcahuano vs Lota Schwager analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
19.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naval de Talcahuano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
CDM
4 - 1
NTA
50%
25%
25%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
NTA
5 - 0
VAL
63%
21%
17%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
SAU
2 - 1
NTA
44%
27%
29%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
NTA
1 - 0
DSC
33%
25%
43%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
LOT
1 - 2
NTA
37%
27%
37%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Lota Schwager
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
LOT
1 - 1
BAR
30%
27%
43%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
TRA
0 - 0
LOT
41%
26%
33%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
LOT
2 - 0
PIN
31%
25%
44%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
MAL
0 - 1
LOT
59%
22%
20%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
LOT
1 - 2
NTA
37%
27%
37%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |