Naval de Talcahuano vs Lota Schwager analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
32.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naval de Talcahuano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 1
NTA
56%
23%
21%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
NTA
2 - 3
COQ
42%
27%
31%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
CUR
1 - 1
NTA
46%
26%
28%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
NTA
1 - 1
PUE
55%
24%
22%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
CON
0 - 0
NTA
57%
24%
19%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lota Schwager
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2012 |
LOT
1 - 0
MAG
40%
26%
34%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
LOT
3 - 0
SAN
45%
27%
29%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 1
LOT
59%
23%
19%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
LOT
2 - 3
NUB
18%
24%
59%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 1
LOT
54%
24%
22%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |