Naval de Talcahuano vs Deportes Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
46.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naval de Talcahuano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
VAL
2 - 0
NTA
55%
24%
21%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
SAU
3 - 0
NTA
52%
25%
23%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
NTA
2 - 0
PIN
32%
26%
43%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +2 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
TRA
1 - 1
NTA
62%
21%
18%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
DSC
2 - 1
NTA
59%
24%
18%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Deportes Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
DSC
1 - 1
SAU
48%
26%
26%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
DSC
2 - 0
TRA
55%
25%
20%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
VAL
0 - 3
DSC
42%
26%
32%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
PIN
2 - 1
DSC
41%
25%
34%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
DSC
2 - 1
NTA
59%
24%
18%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |