Naval de Talcahuano vs Deportes Copiapó analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
20%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20%
10.8%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naval de Talcahuano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
EVE
3 - 0
NTA
52%
26%
22%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 2
NTA
49%
26%
25%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
NTA
2 - 1
PUE
54%
25%
21%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
CSD
0 - 1
NTA
51%
25%
23%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
NTA
1 - 1
UNI
56%
23%
21%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Deportes Copiapó
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
DCO
2 - 0
MAG
20%
24%
57%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
DCO
1 - 3
CSD
25%
25%
51%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
ANT
2 - 2
DCO
71%
20%
9%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
DCO
0 - 2
SAN
28%
27%
45%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
EVE
0 - 0
DCO
72%
19%
9%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | +1 |