CDS Naval vs Curicó Unido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
21.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CDS Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
PUE
0 - 2
NTA
39%
28%
34%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
ANT
2 - 1
NTA
54%
25%
20%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -2 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
NTA
3 - 1
SAN
50%
25%
25%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
LOT
1 - 0
NTA
41%
28%
31%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
MAG
2 - 1
NTA
57%
24%
19%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Curicó Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2011 |
CUR
1 - 2
SAN
41%
27%
32%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
CON
1 - 0
CUR
55%
24%
21%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
CUR
1 - 1
DCO
63%
22%
15%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2011 |
UNI
1 - 1
CUR
51%
24%
25%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
CUR
0 - 2
CSD
42%
26%
32%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |