Naval de Talcahuano vs Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
35.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naval de Talcahuano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
NUB
1 - 3
NTA
78%
16%
7%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
NTA
4 - 0
UNI
37%
27%
37%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +2 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
CUR
1 - 0
NTA
41%
27%
33%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2012 |
NTA
1 - 3
IBE
36%
24%
40%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2012 |
NTA
1 - 0
PUE
52%
24%
24%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
CON
3 - 2
CUR
66%
20%
14%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
PUE
1 - 2
CON
34%
26%
40%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
CON
2 - 1
LOT
54%
24%
21%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
NUB
3 - 1
CON
67%
20%
13%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2012 |
CON
4 - 0
FVC
51%
23%
26%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |