Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 2-3
CD Naval vs Plasencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
20.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1977 |
NAV
2 - 0
VAL
48%
26%
26%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1977 |
SPB
2 - 1
NAV
77%
15%
8%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1977 |
PLA
3 - 0
NAV
52%
23%
25%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -2 |
| 11 Sep. 1977 |
NAV
0 - 2
GRA
47%
30%
23%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 1977 |
GIN
2 - 1
NAV
43%
25%
31%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Plasencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1977 |
LPA
1 - 1
PLA
73%
16%
11%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1977 |
PLA
1 - 0
TAL
44%
24%
32%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1977 |
PLA
3 - 0
NAV
52%
23%
25%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +2 |
| 11 Sep. 1977 |
ALC
2 - 0
PLA
87%
9%
4%
|
31 | 50 | 19 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 1977 |
PLA
3 - 0
CIE
79%
13%
8%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | +1 |