Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 0-1
CD Naval vs Gimnástica Torrelavega analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
15.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1979 |
ACF
0 - 0
NAV
60%
23%
17%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1979 |
NAV
0 - 0
TUD
50%
27%
23%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1979 |
CAM
3 - 3
NAV
68%
20%
12%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 May. 1979 |
NAV
3 - 2
ARO
57%
26%
17%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 May. 1979 |
DEP
3 - 0
NAV
52%
27%
21%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Gimnástica Torrelavega
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1979 |
SAL
2 - 0
GIM
64%
21%
15%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1979 |
GIM
0 - 1
CAN
49%
27%
24%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 May. 1978 |
GRA
4 - 1
GIM
70%
20%
11%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -2 |
| 07 May. 1978 |
GIM
1 - 1
GIN
51%
28%
21%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1978 |
CEL
1 - 1
GIM
53%
27%
20%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |