CD Naval vs SD Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
20.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
2
10º
13º
11º
6
1º
17º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
14º
|
1 | 70 |
1º
|
46% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 59 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 59 |
3º
|
10% | |
|
9º
|
3 | 58 |
4º
|
11% | |
|
5º
|
4 | 53 |
5º
|
9% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 53 |
6º
|
9% | |
|
4º
|
4 | 53 |
7º
|
10% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 50 |
8º
|
9% | |
|
17º
|
0 | 46 |
9º
|
8% | |
|
3º
|
4 | 46 |
10º
|
6% | |
|
|
11º
|
2 | 42 |
11º
|
7.5% | |
|
2º
|
4 | 41 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
15º
|
1 | 40 |
13º
|
6.5% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 40 |
14º
|
9% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 38 |
15º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 35 |
16º
|
14% | |
|
|
1º
|
6 | 34 |
17º
|
16% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 31 |
18º
|
28.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
10% | 4% |
|
Mid-table
|
64.5% | 44.5% |
|
Relegation
|
25.5% | 51.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
NAV
2 - 1
MON
57%
23%
20%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
ATM
0 - 0
NAV
35%
24%
41%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
RAC
2 - 0
NAV
79%
14%
7%
|
27 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
NAV
1 - 1
ATM
56%
23%
21%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
COL
2 - 2
NAV
28%
25%
47%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
SD Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
GAM
1 - 0
ATM
41%
24%
35%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
CAY
1 - 2
GAM
84%
11%
5%
|
19 | 39 | 20 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
BAR
0 - 1
GAM
57%
22%
21%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
GAM
1 - 1
ARE
53%
23%
25%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
SEL
0 - 0
GAM
42%
25%
32%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |