CD Naval vs Castro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.8%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
68.9%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
VEL
1 - 1
NAV
63%
20%
17%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
NAV
1 - 4
NOJ
36%
24%
40%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
ATM
0 - 0
NAV
71%
17%
13%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
NAV
1 - 1
VLE
49%
23%
28%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
RIN
5 - 0
NAV
53%
21%
26%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
CAS
0 - 0
REV
48%
23%
29%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
VEL
0 - 2
CAS
21%
22%
58%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
CAS
1 - 0
SAN
62%
21%
17%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
NOJ
1 - 2
CAS
19%
21%
60%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
CAS
6 - 1
MER
72%
18%
10%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |