CD Naval vs Castro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
60.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
GIM
1 - 2
NAV
89%
8%
3%
|
17 | 40 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
NAV
0 - 0
ALB
28%
24%
48%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
RAC
4 - 2
NAV
88%
9%
4%
|
17 | 38 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
NAV
2 - 0
COL
23%
21%
56%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
SEL
2 - 1
NAV
66%
19%
15%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
CAS
2 - 0
TEX
54%
25%
22%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
ESC
0 - 1
CAS
42%
25%
33%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
RAY
0 - 2
CAS
60%
22%
18%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +2 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 0
GIM
14%
23%
63%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | +3 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
ALB
1 - 1
CAS
39%
26%
34%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |