Náutico RR vs Humaitá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
69.3%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13.9%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico RR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
RIO
5 - 0
NAU
82%
12%
6%
|
14 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
NAU
1 - 2
SAO
12%
18%
70%
|
15 | 30 | 15 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2022 |
TDC
10 - 2
NAU
76%
15%
8%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
NAU
3 - 5
TDC
17%
20%
63%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
SAO
5 - 1
NAU
80%
13%
7%
|
16 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Humaitá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
SAO
5 - 0
SCH
69%
16%
14%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
SCH
0 - 0
TDC
39%
23%
39%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
SAO
0 - 0
SCH
57%
20%
23%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
SCH
0 - 1
SAO
41%
23%
37%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2022 |
TDC
2 - 1
SCH
34%
23%
44%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -1 |