Náutico RR vs Rio Branco Acre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.4%
54.5%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico RR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2016 |
SAO
1 - 1
NAU
46%
22%
32%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
SAO
1 - 0
NAU
43%
22%
35%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
NAU
2 - 1
BAR
45%
22%
33%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
ARO
0 - 2
NAU
21%
20%
59%
|
29 | 16 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
VIT
3 - 1
NAU
92%
7%
2%
|
29 | 72 | 43 | 0 |
Matches
Rio Branco Acre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2016 |
ATL
2 - 1
RIO
53%
24%
23%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
RIO
1 - 3
ATL
43%
25%
33%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
RIO
1 - 0
ATL
39%
25%
36%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
GAL
2 - 1
RIO
30%
24%
45%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
RIO
1 - 1
GAL
59%
21%
21%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |