Náutico RR vs Porto Velho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.7%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
69.3%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.6%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico RR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2022 |
BAR
0 - 2
NAU
52%
24%
24%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
NAU
0 - 1
SAO
19%
24%
57%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2022 |
SAO
4 - 1
NAU
79%
14%
7%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
BAR
0 - 1
NAU
53%
24%
23%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
BAR
4 - 1
NAU
49%
25%
26%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Porto Velho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
RDA
2 - 1
POR
33%
25%
42%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
POR
2 - 1
RDA
45%
24%
31%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
RDA
1 - 1
POR
36%
25%
38%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2022 |
POR
7 - 2
PIM
74%
16%
10%
|
37 | 12 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
POR
1 - 1
GEN
69%
18%
13%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |