Náutico RR vs Ponte Preta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.3%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
73.5%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
14%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22%
0-3
10.4%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14.8%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.3%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico RR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
PAY
4 - 0
NAU
79%
14%
7%
|
30 | 57 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
NAU
2 - 7
PAY
15%
20%
64%
|
31 | 58 | 27 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
NAC
6 - 1
NAU
72%
17%
11%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
NAU
1 - 2
PLA
35%
24%
41%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2013 |
GEN
3 - 3
NAU
50%
22%
28%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ponte Preta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
PPE
2 - 1
RIO
66%
21%
13%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
BRA
2 - 0
PPE
30%
26%
44%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
PPE
2 - 1
OES
72%
19%
9%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
PEN
1 - 2
PPE
25%
26%
49%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
PPE
1 - 0
LIN
71%
19%
10%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | +1 |