Náutico RR vs Plácido de Castro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
41%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico RR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2013 |
GEN
3 - 3
NAU
50%
22%
28%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
NAU
3 - 0
PAR
20%
24%
57%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | +6 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
NAU
1 - 0
GEN
50%
22%
28%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
PAR
1 - 0
NAU
77%
14%
9%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
PLA
2 - 1
NAU
67%
18%
14%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Plácido de Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
PLA
1 - 0
GEN
70%
18%
12%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2013 |
GEN
1 - 2
PLA
28%
24%
48%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
PLA
2 - 1
NAU
67%
18%
14%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2013 |
NAC
2 - 0
PLA
64%
20%
16%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -2 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
PLA
1 - 1
PAR
40%
26%
35%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -1 |