Náutico RR vs Nacional AM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
64%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico RR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2015 |
NAU
2 - 1
BAR
46%
23%
31%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2015 |
NAU
1 - 1
ARO
74%
15%
11%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
BAR
0 - 0
NAU
43%
23%
34%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
NAU
6 - 1
GAS
79%
13%
8%
|
30 | 10 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
BAR
0 - 3
NAU
50%
23%
28%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +3 |
Matches
Nacional AM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2015 |
PRI
1 - 2
NAC
27%
25%
48%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 0
PRI
58%
22%
20%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
NAC
2 - 3
PEN
67%
20%
13%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
PEN
0 - 2
NAC
23%
25%
53%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
PRI
0 - 2
NAC
32%
26%
43%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |