Náutico RR vs AE Real analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.9%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.8%
44%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico RR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
NAU
1 - 1
GAS
27%
23%
50%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
NAU
1 - 1
MRF
68%
17%
16%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
ARO
1 - 1
NAU
43%
23%
34%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
NAU
1 - 3
SAO
18%
22%
61%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2024 |
RIO
0 - 2
NAU
20%
18%
62%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
AE Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2024 |
REA
0 - 0
SAO
20%
20%
60%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
MRF
2 - 0
REA
14%
16%
70%
|
21 | 10 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
PRO
0 - 6
REA
38%
21%
41%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2024 |
REA
1 - 2
GAS
34%
22%
44%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
REA
1 - 2
REC
76%
15%
9%
|
22 | 6 | 16 | -1 |