Náutico vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.7%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
49.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
CRZ
3 - 0
NAU
70%
19%
11%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2012 |
NAU
3 - 2
FFL
38%
27%
35%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
SPO
0 - 0
NAU
45%
26%
29%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
NAU
1 - 0
BAH
44%
27%
29%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2012 |
NAU
3 - 0
SAO
17%
23%
60%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | +2 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
VAS
2 - 0
POR
63%
22%
15%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2012 |
GRE
2 - 0
VAS
52%
24%
24%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
VAS
1 - 2
FLU
44%
26%
30%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
FLA
1 - 0
VAS
35%
26%
39%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2012 |
VAS
2 - 2
COT
57%
23%
20%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |