Copa do Brasil Last 16
Global 0-3
Náutico vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
52.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
AME
4 - 2
NAU
15%
20%
66%
|
62 | 34 | 28 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
NAU
4 - 3
CEN
75%
16%
9%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
YPI
0 - 3
NAU
16%
21%
63%
|
62 | 39 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
NAU
5 - 1
SAL
72%
17%
11%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
SAN
3 - 3
NAU
32%
25%
44%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
VAS
2 - 1
CAB
84%
12%
4%
|
80 | 45 | 35 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2011 |
VAS
2 - 1
ABC
74%
17%
9%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
VAS
4 - 0
BAN
80%
14%
6%
|
80 | 56 | 24 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2011 |
ABC
0 - 0
VAS
22%
23%
55%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
FLU
0 - 0
VAS
58%
22%
20%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |