Náutico vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
46.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2007 |
NAU
1 - 0
SAO
23%
24%
53%
|
70 | 89 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
ATM
2 - 1
NAU
63%
22%
15%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2007 |
FFL
1 - 0
NAU
64%
21%
15%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2007 |
NAU
2 - 2
FFL
39%
24%
37%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2007 |
COR
0 - 2
NAU
70%
19%
12%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | +2 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2007 |
VAS
3 - 1
SPO
65%
21%
14%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
ARN
0 - 1
VAS
24%
24%
52%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2007 |
BOT
4 - 4
VAS
48%
22%
29%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
CAB
2 - 1
VAS
11%
17%
72%
|
80 | 51 | 29 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2007 |
VAS
1 - 2
GAM
79%
14%
7%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |