Náutico vs Sport Recife analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
26.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2022 |
NAU
1 - 0
CAR
86%
10%
4%
|
68 | 36 | 32 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
NAU
3 - 0
SER
87%
10%
4%
|
67 | 46 | 21 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2022 |
NAU
1 - 0
SAL
86%
10%
4%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
AFO
2 - 2
NAU
8%
18%
74%
|
67 | 40 | 27 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2022 |
TOC
1 - 0
NAU
5%
16%
79%
|
68 | 33 | 35 | -1 |
Matches
Sport Recife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2022 |
SAL
1 - 1
SPO
12%
24%
64%
|
72 | 47 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
BAH
2 - 3
SPO
66%
21%
13%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2022 |
ALT
1 - 0
SPO
17%
26%
58%
|
73 | 52 | 21 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
ALT
0 - 0
SPO
16%
25%
59%
|
73 | 52 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2022 |
SPO
0 - 1
BOT
69%
20%
11%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |