Náutico vs Sport Recife analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
25.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
BAH
1 - 1
NAU
53%
25%
22%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
SAO
2 - 1
NAU
68%
20%
12%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
NAU
0 - 1
FLA
37%
26%
37%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
NAU
3 - 0
SCI
28%
27%
45%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 0
NAU
72%
18%
10%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Sport Recife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
SPO
1 - 1
FLU
22%
25%
53%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
SPO
2 - 0
BOT
26%
27%
48%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
FFL
1 - 1
SPO
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
VAS
0 - 3
SPO
69%
19%
12%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
SPO
2 - 4
SAO
23%
25%
52%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |