Pernambucano 1 Semi-finals
Global 1-2
Náutico vs Sport Recife analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
30.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2012 |
NAU
2 - 1
FOR
50%
24%
26%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
CEN
1 - 2
NAU
16%
22%
62%
|
63 | 43 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2012 |
FOR
4 - 0
NAU
43%
25%
32%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
NAU
1 - 2
SER
81%
13%
6%
|
65 | 38 | 27 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 0
NAU
21%
24%
55%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Sport Recife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
SPO
2 - 1
SAN
73%
17%
10%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2012 |
SPO
1 - 4
PAY
64%
20%
16%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | -2 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
POR
1 - 3
SPO
12%
20%
68%
|
69 | 39 | 30 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
PAY
2 - 1
SPO
27%
24%
49%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
SPO
5 - 0
SER
86%
10%
4%
|
69 | 38 | 31 | 0 |