Náutico vs Sport Recife analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
36.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2011 |
NAU
0 - 3
VAS
24%
24%
53%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
AME
4 - 2
NAU
15%
20%
66%
|
62 | 34 | 28 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
NAU
4 - 3
CEN
75%
16%
9%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
YPI
0 - 3
NAU
16%
21%
63%
|
62 | 39 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
NAU
5 - 1
SAL
72%
17%
11%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Sport Recife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
SPO
3 - 1
POR
71%
18%
11%
|
69 | 47 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
SPO
0 - 2
SAN
65%
21%
14%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
CEN
2 - 3
SPO
14%
23%
64%
|
70 | 45 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2011 |
SPO
3 - 0
CAB
83%
13%
5%
|
70 | 41 | 29 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
ACA
2 - 1
SPO
13%
22%
66%
|
70 | 35 | 35 | 0 |