Náutico vs Sport Recife analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
23%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2005 |
YPI
1 - 2
NAU
15%
20%
66%
|
65 | 40 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
NAU
3 - 0
PET
87%
9%
4%
|
65 | 32 | 33 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2005 |
COT
3 - 0
NAU
65%
21%
14%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
ACA
1 - 2
NAU
10%
17%
73%
|
66 | 38 | 28 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2005 |
NAU
1 - 0
COT
32%
27%
41%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Sport Recife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2005 |
ITA
2 - 0
SPO
15%
21%
64%
|
65 | 35 | 30 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
SPO
0 - 1
SAN
38%
26%
35%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
SER
0 - 2
SPO
13%
20%
67%
|
66 | 43 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
SPO
3 - 0
YPI
77%
16%
7%
|
65 | 43 | 22 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
POR
2 - 4
SPO
14%
21%
65%
|
65 | 41 | 24 | 0 |