Náutico vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
21.3%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
35.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1990 |
VIT
2 - 2
NAU
49%
27%
25%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1990 |
PAL
1 - 1
NAU
62%
22%
15%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1990 |
NAU
0 - 0
ECS
64%
21%
15%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1990 |
NAU
1 - 0
CRZ
39%
28%
33%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1990 |
INT
1 - 0
NAU
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1990 |
SAO
1 - 0
GRE
53%
26%
21%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1990 |
SAO
0 - 0
FLU
65%
21%
14%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1990 |
CRZ
1 - 2
SAO
42%
29%
28%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1990 |
FLA
0 - 1
SAO
47%
27%
25%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1990 |
SAO
4 - 0
VIT
67%
21%
12%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | +1 |