Náutico vs Santos FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
42.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
SPO
3 - 3
NAU
62%
22%
16%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2009 |
NAU
2 - 2
BOT
32%
26%
43%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2009 |
GRÊ
4 - 0
NAU
43%
26%
31%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2009 |
NAU
1 - 1
VIT
44%
26%
30%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2009 |
PAL
4 - 1
NAU
66%
20%
14%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 2
FLA
43%
26%
32%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 0
ATP
55%
24%
21%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2009 |
SAO
2 - 1
SAN
51%
25%
24%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2009 |
SAN
3 - 3
GRÊ
68%
20%
12%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2009 |
VIT
6 - 2
SAN
40%
25%
35%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | -1 |