Náutico vs Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
25.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2018 |
PPE
3 - 0
NAU
62%
23%
15%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
NAU
2 - 1
CEN
75%
17%
8%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
CEN
0 - 0
NAU
15%
23%
62%
|
62 | 43 | 19 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2018 |
ALT
2 - 2
NAU
11%
16%
73%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
NAU
3 - 2
SAL
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
SAN
4 - 1
CON
59%
22%
19%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2018 |
TRE
0 - 0
SAN
17%
22%
61%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2018 |
SPO
3 - 0
SAN
68%
19%
13%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
CRB
1 - 1
SAN
43%
24%
32%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
SPO
1 - 1
SAN
69%
19%
12%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |