Pernambucano 1 Quarter-finals
Global 2-5
Náutico vs Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
37.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
SAN
3 - 1
NAU
53%
24%
23%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
SAL
0 - 2
NAU
27%
27%
46%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2016 |
NAU
1 - 1
VIT
72%
18%
9%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
NAU
3 - 0
CEN
79%
15%
6%
|
65 | 42 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 1
NAU
53%
24%
23%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
SAN
3 - 1
NAU
53%
24%
23%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
BAH
0 - 1
SAN
46%
26%
28%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 2
BAH
43%
26%
31%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 1
SPO
31%
25%
44%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 0
RIO
76%
16%
8%
|
69 | 47 | 22 | 0 |