Náutico vs Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
34%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
ICA
3 - 1
NAU
42%
28%
31%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
NAU
1 - 2
ATL
42%
26%
32%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2014 |
BOA
1 - 0
NAU
44%
27%
29%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
SAM
1 - 1
NAU
50%
25%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
NAU
2 - 1
ABC
53%
26%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 1
ARN
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2014 |
SAN
5 - 1
VIL
72%
19%
9%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
CEA
0 - 2
SAN
65%
21%
15%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +2 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 0
VAS
24%
26%
50%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 1
BRA
48%
26%
26%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |