Náutico vs Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
29.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2005 |
ANA
1 - 2
NAU
45%
25%
30%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2005 |
NAU
1 - 3
POR
48%
25%
28%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
UNI
2 - 0
NAU
36%
26%
38%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2005 |
SAN
2 - 1
NAU
53%
23%
24%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2005 |
POR
2 - 2
NAU
14%
19%
67%
|
66 | 38 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2005 |
SAN
1 - 0
POR
52%
25%
24%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2005 |
SAN
1 - 0
CRZ
22%
24%
55%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
CEA
0 - 1
SAN
46%
26%
29%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
SAN
2 - 2
PAU
45%
26%
29%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2005 |
CRZ
4 - 0
SAN
79%
14%
7%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | -2 |