Náutico vs Sampaio Correa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
24.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2019 |
NAU
1 - 0
SAL
60%
22%
18%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
AFO
1 - 3
NAU
13%
18%
70%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 1
NAU
51%
24%
25%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
NAU
4 - 2
FEC
80%
13%
7%
|
56 | 30 | 26 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2019 |
IMP
1 - 1
NAU
16%
22%
62%
|
57 | 40 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Sampaio Correa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2019 |
QUI
0 - 1
SAM
12%
22%
66%
|
56 | 25 | 31 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
SAM
0 - 1
MAR
77%
16%
7%
|
57 | 35 | 22 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
MOT
1 - 0
SAM
26%
26%
49%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
MOT
1 - 0
SAM
21%
25%
55%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
SAM
0 - 3
CSA
33%
26%
41%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |