Náutico vs Salgueiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.9%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.2%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.1%
3-0
13.7%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.3%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.2%
3.9%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
AFO
2 - 2
NAU
8%
18%
74%
|
67 | 40 | 27 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2022 |
TOC
1 - 0
NAU
5%
16%
79%
|
68 | 33 | 35 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
CSA
3 - 1
NAU
59%
22%
19%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2022 |
VCR
1 - 2
NAU
7%
18%
76%
|
68 | 39 | 29 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
NAU
3 - 0
ALA
85%
11%
5%
|
68 | 46 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Salgueiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2022 |
SAL
0 - 3
SAN
8%
21%
71%
|
48 | 82 | 34 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2022 |
AFO
1 - 2
SAL
35%
26%
39%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2022 |
SAL
2 - 1
SAN
31%
28%
42%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
SAL
4 - 0
SSS
69%
19%
12%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
ISC
2 - 1
SAL
18%
25%
57%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | -1 |