Náutico vs Salgueiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
12.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 0
NAU
54%
23%
22%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2017 |
CEN
0 - 1
NAU
8%
17%
76%
|
68 | 43 | 25 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
NAU
1 - 1
SAN
40%
25%
35%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2017 |
NAU
4 - 0
UNI
84%
12%
3%
|
68 | 40 | 28 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
NAU
0 - 2
OES
67%
21%
13%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Salgueiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2017 |
SAL
0 - 0
SPO
11%
20%
69%
|
57 | 77 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
BEL
0 - 2
SAL
16%
25%
59%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2017 |
ACA
0 - 1
SAL
17%
25%
58%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
SAL
0 - 0
CEN
62%
23%
15%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2017 |
AME
1 - 3
SAL
17%
25%
58%
|
56 | 34 | 22 | +1 |