Náutico vs Salgueiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
8.6%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
NAU
0 - 0
SPO
47%
24%
29%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
YPI
0 - 0
NAU
12%
20%
69%
|
66 | 42 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 3
NAU
14%
21%
64%
|
66 | 46 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
PET
1 - 1
NAU
12%
20%
68%
|
66 | 41 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
NAU
2 - 0
POR
82%
13%
6%
|
66 | 39 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Salgueiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
SAL
1 - 1
SER
68%
19%
13%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
SPO
0 - 0
SAL
77%
16%
8%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 0
SAL
40%
26%
35%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
SAL
1 - 0
PET
62%
21%
17%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
SAL
3 - 1
AME
77%
15%
7%
|
51 | 28 | 23 | 0 |