Náutico vs Ríver analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.8%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.2%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.2%
7.1%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
NAU
2 - 0
AFO
82%
13%
5%
|
66 | 41 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
NAU
1 - 0
SPO
19%
26%
55%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
VIT
1 - 1
NAU
62%
22%
17%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
RFC
1 - 0
NAU
28%
24%
48%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
NAU
0 - 0
CEA
18%
25%
57%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Ríver
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
RIV
5 - 1
COR
69%
19%
13%
|
50 | 28 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
RIV
1 - 0
ITA
40%
26%
34%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
COR
1 - 2
RIV
20%
23%
57%
|
49 | 29 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
RIV
1 - 1
YPI
16%
22%
62%
|
48 | 67 | 19 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
RIV
1 - 1
4DE
70%
19%
11%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | -1 |