Pernambucano 1 Etapas Finales Final
Global 1-1
Náutico vs Retro FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.8%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
12.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
NAU
0 - 1
BAH
25%
27%
48%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
LON
2 - 0
NAU
39%
28%
33%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
NAU
0 - 0
SAN
79%
14%
7%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
FOR
2 - 0
NAU
73%
18%
10%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2022 |
BOT
1 - 1
NAU
35%
26%
40%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Retro FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
RFC
2 - 0
CRA
85%
11%
3%
|
49 | 21 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
RFC
1 - 0
SAL
46%
24%
30%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2022 |
SAL
2 - 2
RFC
37%
24%
39%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2022 |
RFC
1 - 0
ISC
75%
16%
9%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2022 |
RFC
3 - 0
AFO
62%
21%
18%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |