Náutico vs Retro FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.8%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.4%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.4%
6.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
SAM
0 - 1
NAU
42%
26%
32%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2022 |
SSS
0 - 3
NAU
5%
16%
79%
|
67 | 31 | 36 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
SPO
3 - 2
NAU
53%
24%
23%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
NAU
0 - 0
CAM
86%
10%
4%
|
68 | 47 | 21 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
NAU
3 - 0
ISC
92%
7%
2%
|
68 | 29 | 39 | 0 |
Matches
Retro FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2022 |
RFC
2 - 1
SPO
9%
17%
74%
|
45 | 73 | 28 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
VCR
1 - 2
RFC
26%
23%
50%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2021 |
MOT
3 - 2
RFC
31%
23%
47%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
ABC
3 - 2
RFC
59%
23%
19%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
RFC
1 - 1
ABC
29%
26%
45%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |