Náutico vs Retro FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.6%
10.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2020 |
CRB
2 - 3
NAU
50%
25%
25%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
SAN
2 - 0
NAU
46%
25%
29%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2020 |
NAU
1 - 1
ABC
58%
22%
21%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2020 |
NAU
0 - 1
CEN
82%
13%
5%
|
63 | 43 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2020 |
NAU
1 - 1
BOT
28%
26%
46%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Retro FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
RFC
2 - 0
ACA
68%
18%
14%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2020 |
SED
2 - 5
RFC
22%
22%
56%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
RFC
0 - 1
SAL
40%
24%
36%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2020 |
SPO
1 - 1
RFC
85%
11%
4%
|
45 | 75 | 30 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
AFO
2 - 2
RFC
41%
24%
35%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |