Copa do Brasil 1/16
Global 1-3
Náutico vs Ponte Preta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
49.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2018 |
NAU
1 - 1
SAN
48%
26%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2018 |
PPE
3 - 0
NAU
62%
23%
15%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
NAU
2 - 1
CEN
75%
17%
8%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
CEN
0 - 0
NAU
15%
23%
62%
|
62 | 43 | 19 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2018 |
ALT
2 - 2
NAU
11%
16%
73%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Ponte Preta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
PPE
0 - 1
PAY
67%
22%
11%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2018 |
PPE
3 - 0
NAU
62%
23%
15%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 2018 |
PPE
1 - 0
MIR
66%
22%
13%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
MIR
1 - 1
PPE
22%
25%
53%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
SAO
3 - 1
PPE
17%
26%
57%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | -1 |